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acetraderforex
post Jan 4 2021, 04:41 AM
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AceTraderFx Jan 04: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 04 Jan 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2242
The single currency's selloff from last Wednesday's fresh 33-month peak at 1.2309 to 1.2210 Thursday suggests Medium Term upmove has made a temporary top there and consolidation with downside bias remains for stronger retracement to 1.2195, then 1.2160/65, however, support at 1.2131 should remain intact and yield a much-needed rebound later.

On the upside, only above 1.2275 would indicate aforesaid pullback has ended and risk stronger gain to 1.2300/05 would be seen but 1.2309 may hold on 1st testing.

There is a slew of manufacturing PMIs to be released from the eurozone today.
Pay particular attention to Germany's at 08:55GMT and EU's at 09:00GMT.

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acetraderforex
post Jan 6 2021, 03:59 AM
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AceTraderFx Jan 06: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 06 Jan 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2296
Despite euro's re-test of last Wednesday's fresh 2-1/2 year peak at 1.2309 in New York on Monday, subsequent sharp retreat to 1.2242 suggests Medium Term upmove is not ready to resume yet and choppy trading below there would continue with mild downside bias, however, last Thursday's reaction low at 1.2210 should remain intact and yield another rebound later.

On the upside, only above 1.2309 would revive bullishness for one more rise to 1.2334/40, then 1.2355/60 before prospect of a much-needed correction.

Data to be released on Wednesday :
Japan Jibun Bank services PMI, consumer confidence, China Caixin services PMI.
UK BRC shop price index, Markit services PMI, France consumer confidence, CPI (EU norm), CPI, Markit services PMI, Italy Markit services PMI, Germany Markit services PMI, CPI, HICP, EU Markit services PMI, producer prices.
U.S. MBA mortgage applications, ADP national employment, Markit services PMI, durables ex-defense, durable goods, factory orders, durables ex-transportation.

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acetraderforex
post Jan 13 2021, 04:26 AM
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AceTraderFx Jan 13: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 13 Jan 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2217
Despite the single currency's fall to 1.2133 on Monday, subsequent rally to 1.2216 today suggests the first leg of correction from January's 2-1/2 year peak at 1.2349 has ended there and consolidation with upside bias remains for gain to 1.2226/30, however, resistance at 1.2241/46 would remain intact and yield retreat.

On the downside, only below 1.2178 would indicate aforesaid recovery has ended instead and risk weakness to 1.2133/38.

Pay attention to the release of EU industrial production mm and yy at 10:00GMT. Street forecasts are 0.2% and -3.3% vs previous readings of 2.1% and -3.8% respectively.
Elsewhere, ECB President Christine Lagarde will speak at the Reuters Next summit at 09:00GMT.

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acetraderforex
post Jan 15 2021, 10:57 AM
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AceTraderFx Jan 15: Daily Recommendatioons on Major – USD/JPY

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 15 Jan 2021 09:30GMT

USD/JPY - 103.68
The greenback's sharp retreat from 104.19 (Asia) to 103.57 on usd's broad-based weakness in late New York yesterday suggests choppy trading below Monday's 4-week peak at 104.39 would continue with downside bias, below Wednesday's reaction low at 103.53 would yield stronger retracement of upmove from December's 9-1/2 month trough at 102.60 to 103.20/25, then 102.95 later.

On the upside, only above 104.19 would abort daily bearishness and risk re-test of 104.39, break would head to 104.57/60 before prospect of correction.

Data to be released on Friday :
New Zealand food price index, China house prices, Japan tertiary industry activity index, UK GDP, industrial output, manufacturing output, construction output, trade balance.
France budget balance, CPI, CPI (EU norm), EU trade balance.
U.S. New York Fed manufacturing index, PPI, core PPI, retail sales ex-autos, retail sales, industrial production, capacity utilization, manufacturing output, business inventories, University of Michigan sentiment.

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acetraderforex
post Jan 20 2021, 04:26 AM
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AceTraderFx Jan 20: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 20 Jan 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2142
Yesterday's rally to 1.2144 (New York) due to renewed risk-on sentiment confirms euro's recent decline from January's near 33-month peak at 1.2349 has made a temporary low at Monday's 6-week trough at 1.2055, near term overbought condition is likely to limit gain to 1.2175/78 and yield retreat later today.

On the downside, a daily close below New York low at 1.2116 would be 1st signal recovery has ended, then weakness to 1.2086 and re-test of 1.2055 would follow.

Data to be released on Wednesday :
Australia consumer sentiment.
Germany producer prices, UK core CPI, CPI, RPI, core RPI, PPI input prices, PPI output prices, PPI core output prices, DCLG house price index, EU HICP, core HICP.
U.S. MBA mortgage applications, redbook, NAHB housing index, and Canada CPI, core CPI, Bank of Canada interest rate decision.


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acetraderforex
post Jan 25 2021, 04:26 AM
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AceTraderFx Jan 25: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major
Update Time: 25 Jan 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2172
Euro's 3-legged rise from last Mon's 6-week trough at 1.2055 to as high as 1.2190 Fri suggests recent decline from Jan's 1.2349 peak has made a temporary low and marginal gain is envisaged, however, loss of upward momentum would cap price below res at 1.2222.

A daily close below 1.2152 (Fri low) would be the 1st signal correction has ended, then outlook would turn bearish for weakness towards 1.2077 later.

Data to be released today:
Germany Ifo business climate, Ifo current conditions, Ifo expectations, EU business sentiment, economic sentiment, industrial sentiment, services sentiment, consumer confidence.
U.S. national activity index on Monday.

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acetraderforex
post Jan 29 2021, 06:50 AM
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AceTraderFx Jan 29: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today – USD/JPY

Intra-Day Market Moving News and View

Update Time: 29 Jan 2021 05:30GMT

USD/JPY - 104.46.. Dollar regained traction at Tokyo open on renewed cross-selling in yen n broad-based usd's rebound due to intra-day retreat in U.S. stock futures, price easily penetrated Thursday's 104.46 (NY) high to a fresh 6-week peak of 104.57.

Intra-day resumption of recent upmove from Jan's 9-1/2 month trough at 102.60 suggests price is en route to next daily chart obj. at 104.75 after consolidation, however, reckon 'psychological' handle may hold on 1st testing. Bids have been raised to 104.40/-30 n more below with stops touted below New York low as well as Thursday's low at 104.18.

We have U.S. data dump later in New York (please refer to our EI page for details) which is expected to affect intra-day usd's movement, pay attention to Chicago PMI and University of Michigan consumer confidence.


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acetraderforex
post Feb 3 2021, 04:02 AM
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AceTraderFx Feb 03: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 03 Feb 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2045
Despite yesterday's resumption of recent decline from January's near 33-month peak at 1.2349 to a 2-month bottom of 1.2011 in New York, subsequent rebound in tandem with rally in US stocks suggests temporary low is made, a daily close above 1.2055 (January low, now res) is needed to bring stronger retracement to 1.2085/95 but 1.2155 should remain intact this week.

Below 1.2011 would extend marginal weakness, however, loss of downward momentum is expected to keep price above 1.1976 and bring correction later.

Data to be released on Wednesday :
Australia AIG construction index, building permits, New Zealand unemployment rate, employment change, labour cost index, Japan Jibun Bank services PMI, China Caixin services PMI.
Italy Markit services PMI, CPI, CPI (EU norm), France Markit services PMI, Germany Markit services PMI, EU Markit services PMI, HICP, core HICP, producer price index, UK Markit services PMI.
U.S. MBA mortgage applications, labor costs, productivity, ADP employment change, Markit services PMI, ISM non-manufacturing PMI.

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acetraderforex
post Feb 8 2021, 04:09 AM
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AceTraderFx Feb 08: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD


DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 08 Feb 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2043
Although Fri's rally from Asian fresh 2-month trough of 1.1953 (Asia) to as high as 1.2049 in New York after downbeat U.S. jobs report confirms euro's decline from Jan's near 33-month peak at 1.2349 has made a temporary low and 1-2 days of choppy consolidation is in store, as long as 1.2087 holds, downside bias remains.

A daily close below 1.2000 signals recovery has ended and brings re-test of 1.1953 later. Only above 1.2087 risks stronger correction of said decline, then price may head back towards 1.2155 'later' this week.

On the eco. data front, Germany will kick off with industrial output n then EI Sentix investor confidence index. We have participation by ECB President Lagarde in a debate on the ECB Annual Report 2019 at the European Parliament at 16:00GMT.


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acetraderforex
post Feb 10 2021, 04:16 AM
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AceTraderFx Feb 10: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 10 Feb 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2110
Euro's resumption of near term upmove from Friday's 2-month bottom at 1.1953 to a 1-week high of 1.2121 in New York yesterday due to continued usd's weakness suggests recent fall from Jan's 1.2349 peak has made a low there and as long as 1.2066 (Monday high, now sup) holds, upside bias remains for further gain, overbought condition should cap price well below daily res at 1.2190.

Only a daily close below 1.2066 signals 1st leg of correction from 1.1953 over and risks weakness towards 1.2019 before prospect of rebound later this week.

Data to be released on Wednesday :
Australia Westpac consumer sentiment, Japan corporate goods price index, machine tool orders, China PPI, CPI, Germany CPI, HICP.
France industrial output, and U.S. MBA mortgage applications, core CPI, CPI, real weekly earnings, wholesale inventory, wholesale sales, Federal budget.

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acetraderforex
post Feb 11 2021, 10:54 AM
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AceTraderFx Feb 11: Daily Recommendations on Major –USD/JPY


DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 11 Feb 2021 09:30GMT

USD/JPY - 104.64
Despite the greenback's rally to a 16-week peak at 105.76 last Friday, subsequent selloff to 104.42 yesterday due to return or risk sentiment on rally in global equities suggests upmove from January's 9-1/2 month bottom at 102.60 has made a temporary top there and consolidation with downside bias remains for stronger retracement to 104.10, however, oversold condition would keep price above 103.80/90 and yield a rebound later.

On the upside, only above 105.16 would indicate aforesaid correction has ended and risk gain to 105.34, then 105.45/50 later this week.

On the data front, U.S. will release weekly jobless claims n continued jobless claims at 13:30GMT.
U.S. will release a slew of eco. data later today, please refer to our EI page for details. Also pay attention to Fed President J. Powell speech at 17:00GMT at Economic Club of New York where he will speak on "State of the U.S. labor Market" and may shed more light on future Fed's monetary policy.

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acetraderforex
post Feb 16 2021, 04:10 AM
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AceTraderFx Feb 16: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD

DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 16 Feb 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2138
Euro's rebound from 1.2082 (Friday) to 1.2144 yesterday suggests re-test of last week's 1.2149 high would be forthcoming soon due to renewed usd's weakness on risk appetite, above would extend upmove from Feb's 1.1953 trough to 1.2190, loss of upward momentum should cap price below daily res at 1.2222.

Only below 1.2082 dampened bullishness and may risk stronger retracement of said rise to 1.2045/50.

Data to be released on Tuesday:
China market holiday, Japan tertiary industry activity.
France unemployment rate, Italy trade balance, Germany economic sentiment, current conditions, EU employment change, GDP.
Canada housing starts and US NY Fed manufacturing.


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acetraderforex
post Feb 18 2021, 06:43 AM
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AceTraderFx Feb 18: Intra-Day News and Views & data to be released today – USD/JPY


Intra-Day Market Moving News and View

Update Time: 18 Feb 2021 05:30GMT

USD/JPY - 105.80.. Dlr remains on the back foot in early Asian trading after hitting a 5-month peak of 106.22 in Australia on Wednesday, however, price later ratcheted lower from 106.21 to 105.79 in New York session as retreat in U.S. treasury yields triggered broad-based yen buying, the pair met renewed selling at 105.91 at Tokyo open and fell to 105.71.

Although yesterday's retreat suggests recent upmove has made a temp. top n range trading would be seen, as long as 105.60/65 holds, consolidation with upside bias remains for price to head towards daily chart obj. at 106.55 (2020 Sep high).
Bids are noted at 105.70/60 with stop touted below there while offers are tipped at 106.00/10 with stops above 106.25.

U.S. will release a slew of eco. data later today, pay attention to weekly jobless claims n continued jobless claims. We have Fed's Brainard n Fed's Bostic scheduled to speak in New York morning session.


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acetraderforex
post Yesterday, 04:28 AM
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AceTraderFx Mar 01: Daily Recommendations on Major -EUR/USD


DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major

Update Time: 01 Mar 2021 03:00GMT

EUR/USD - 1.2094
Although euro's decline from last Thursday's 6-week high at 1.2242 to as low as 1.2064 (New York) Friday due to active safe-haven buying of usd on the back of global stock and bond market rout signals correction from February's 2-month bottom at 1.1953 has ended, intra-day rebound would bring choppy sideways swings.

As long as 1.2139/41 res holds, further weakness is envisaged but loss of momentum should keep price above daily pivotal sup at 1.2024 today.

Data to be released today:
Australia manufacturing index, business inventories, Japan manufacturing PMI, China manufacturing PMI.
Swiss retail sales, manufacturing PMI, Italy manufacturing PMI, CPI, France manufacturing PMI, Germany manufacturing PMI, CPI, EU manufacturing PMI, UK manufacturing PMI, Canada current account, manufacturing PMI.
U.S. manufacturing PMI, construction spending and ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday.


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