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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 5 2018, 05:30 AM
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Australia Has A$628 Million Trade Deficit



Australia had a seasonally adjusted merchandise trade deficit of A$628 million in November, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Friday.

That was well shy of forecasts for a surplus of A$550 million following the downwardly revised (302 million shortfall in October (originally a surplus of A$105 million).

Imports were up A$467 million or 1.0 percent on month to A$32.481 billion in November.

Consumption goods rose A$213 million (3 percent), while capital goods rose A$190 million (3 percent) and intermediate and other merchandise goods rose A$81 million (1 percent).

Non-monetary gold fell A$100 million (25 percent) and services debits rose A$83 million (1 percent).

Exports were roughly flat at A$31.853 billion, up A$141 million from a month earlier.

Non-rural goods rose A$394 million (2 percent) and rural goods rose A$25 million (1 percent), while non-monetary gold fell A$425 million (23 percent).

Net exports of goods under merchanting remained steady at A$53 million. Services credits rose A$147 million (2 percent).

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 5 2018, 06:05 AM
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U.S. Yields Rally as Investors Eye Jobs Data



U.S. government bond yields edged higher, driving Treasury bond prices lower, as investors weighed in data on jobless claims and private-sector payrolls a day before the release of the official December U.S. jobs report.

Yield on the ten-year Treasury note trimmed an earlier gain to close at 2.452 percent, rising by around 0.7 basis point, while the two-year Treasury note yield advanced 2 basis points to 1.955 percent. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond advanced marginally to 2.783 percent.

On Wednesday, Treasury yields retreated after minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting underlined divisions over the pace of future monetary policy tightening.

The following day, attention was diverted towards the labor market as investors priced in the private-sector employment data from payroll-services company ADP and stood by for data on weekly jobless claims, with yields continuing their rally after a solid reading from ADP.

ADP reported private-sector payrolls increased 250, 000 in December. First time jobless claims in the week ended December 30 came in at 250, 000 versus a revised 248, 000 a week earlier. The figure is higher than the 240, 000 estimated initial claims.

But markets are mostly focused on the December jobs to be released in Friday. Friday's jobs data is expected to show an increase of 198, 000 in December nonfarm payrolls after a 228, 000 increase in November. The jobless rate is estimated to remain steady at 4.1 percent, while average hourly earnings are projected to increase 0.3 percent after a 0.2 percent in November.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 8 2018, 05:26 AM
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Asian Stocks Rally as Investors Await Corporate Earnings



Asian shares edge up on Monday on the back of solid gains in Wall Street from the last season. Due to the lack of economic data releases during the session, majority of investors are on standby for earnings releases from regional corporates later this week.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200, rising 0.21 percent in the morning. The country's “Big Four” banks traded higher on the day, with ANZ rising 0.52 percent. Gold producers, on the other hand, fell, with the All Ordinaries Gold index sliding by 0.93 percent.

South Korea's Kospi was near break even levels, inching up 0.08 percent after sliding earlier below the flat line. Increases in retailers and steelmakers were countered by the losses in several heavyweight tech stocks. Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix declined 1.04 percent and 1.39 percent respectively.

Japanese markets are closed in celebration of the Coming of Age Day.

MSCI's broad index of shares in the Asia Pacific region, excluding Japan, stood 0.09 percent higher.

The yen trader against dollar at 113.11, while the Australian dollar was mostly steady at $0.7859.

Asian markets notched multi-year highs during the first trading week of the year. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index reached its highest level in 10 years and Japan's Nikkei 225 Index surged to levels not seen in 26 years in the previous trading day.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 8 2018, 07:42 AM
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European Economics Preview: Eurozone Economic Confidence Data Due



Economic confidence and retail trade from euro area and factory orders from Germany are due on Monday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is scheduled to issue Germany's factory orders data. Economists forecast orders to fall 0.2 percent on month in November, reversing a 0.5 percent rise in October.

In the meantime, industrial production data from Norway is due.

At 3.00 am ET, the Czech Statistical Office releases industrial and construction output and foreign trade figures. Also, Hungary's industrial output and retail sales reports are due.

At 3.15 am ET, the Swiss Federal Statistical Office publishes inflation data.

At 4.30 am ET, Eurozone Sentix investor confidence data is due. The indicator is forecast to rise slightly to 31.2 in January from 31.1 in December.

At 5.00 am ET, the European Commission publishes Eurozone economic sentiment survey results. The index is seen at 114.7 in December versus 114.6 in November.

In the meantime, Eurostat releases retail sales data. Economists forecast euro area retail sales to grow 1.2 percent on month in November in contrast to a 1.1 percent fall in October.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 9 2018, 05:10 AM
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Australia's Consumer Confidence Improves Sharply



Australia's consumer confidence strengthened notably during the week ended January 8, a weekly survey compiled by the ANZ bank and Roy Morgan Research showed Tuesday.

The consumer confidence index climbed to 122.0 from 116.5 in the preceding week. Moreover, this was the highest score since November 2013.

All the sub components showed significant increases during the week.

Consumers remained optimistic about financial conditions, which rose to the highest since early 2017. "ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence starts the year on a high as the festive mood carries on to 2018,"

ANZ's head of Australian Economics, David Plank, commented.

"Continued strength in the labor market, and a strong performance in the Ashes series likely helped sustain the cheer among consumers."

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 9 2018, 05:43 AM
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German Manufacturing Orders Drop in November



German manufacturing orders slipped in November, marking its first decline since July 2017 on the back of a drop in domestic and international demand.

The gauge was down 0.4 percent in November from October on a seasonally and working day adjusted basis. The October reading was revised upwards to a rise of 0.7 percent from 0.5 percent previously, according to data by the Federal Statistics Office.

The Economy Ministry, detailing the figures, said the decline in November was a result of fluctuations in large orders but adds that the trend remained strongly upwards.

A breakdown of the data showed domestic orders dropped 0.4 percent on the month and foreign orders by 0.5 percent.

According to ING economist Carsten Brzeski, the overall fall ”is rather of a technical nature than any sign of weakness.

Germany is facing robust domestic demand supported by record-high employment, rising real wages and low borrowing costs while its exporters are benefiting from a global economic recovery.

The Ifo economic institute forecasts the German economy to grow by 2.6 percent in 2018, pointing to a broad upswing that is generating employment and buoyant tax revenues.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 10 2018, 05:20 AM
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China Inflation Rises 1.8% On Year In December



Consumer prices in China were up 1.8 percent on year in December, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday.

That missed expectations for an increase of 1.9 percent but was up from 1.7 percent in November.

On a monthly basis, inflation gained 0.3 percent following the flat reading a month earlier.

The bureau also said that producer prices jumped an annual 4.9 percent, exceeding forecasts for a gain of 4.8 percent but down from 5.8 percent in the previous month.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 10 2018, 06:03 AM
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US Job Openings, Layoffs Drop in November



U.S. job openings dropped for the second consecutive month in November with declines in the manufacturing and real estate sectors, supporting economist forecasts that job growth will slow this year.

The monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS, by the Labor Department, also showed that layoffs fell to a six-month low, however, showing sustained labor market strength.

Job openings, a measure of labor demand, fell by 46,000 to a seasonally adjusted 5.88 million, the lowest level since May. The job openings rate was 3.8 percent, a decline from October's 3.9 percent.

The JOLTS report revealed that layoffs fell 7,000 to 1.67 million in November. That was the lowest level since May and marked five consecutive months of drops.

Industries including manufacturing, business services and transportation and warehousing had fewer openings than in October, while available positions rose in construction and retail, the JOLTS report showed.

Hiring declined 104,000 to 5.49 million in November, and the hiring rate fell to 3.7 percent from 3.8 percent. Economists expect job growth this year to slow to well below the 2017 monthly average of 170,000 as the labor market reaches full employment.

The jobless rate is at a 17-year low of 4.1 percent and economists expect it to decline to 3.5 percent by the end of this year. Non-farm payrolls increased 148,000 in December.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 11 2018, 05:37 AM
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VENEZUELA: Country And China Review Projects To Increase Oil Production



Representatives of the Venezuelan oil company PDVSA and the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) reviewed the scope of their Petrosinovensa joint venture and other joint projects aiming at accelerating oil production.

The meeting was held at the PDVSA facilities in Caracas, where the Oil Minister and PDVSA's chairman Manuel Quevedo hosted Jia Yong, president of CNPC America and representative of CNPC for Latin America.

"China and Venezuela are strategic allies to consolidate our nation as a power. We will continue advancing and working, and in the next meeting, which will occur after January 16, we will establish the advances of this very positive meeting," Quevedo said.

Venezuela and China are jointly carrying out several projects in the oil sector, such as the development of the joint ventures Petroleo Sinovensa, Petrozumano, Petrourica and Petrolera Sino Venezolana.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 11 2018, 05:54 AM
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Global Economy to Rise to 3.1% in 2018 - World Bank



The World Bank is expecting global economic expansion to increase to 3.1 percent this year following a much stronger-than-expected 2017, as the rebound in investment, manufacturing, and trade continues, while commodity-exporting developing economies benefit from firming commodity prices.

The world's economic output expanded three percent last year as more than half of economies accelerated, due to a rebound in investment, manufacturing activity and trade, bank economists said.

However, the World Bank warned that over the longer term, slowing potential growth—a measure of how fast an economy can expand when labor and capital are fully employed—puts at risk gains in improving living standards and reducing poverty around the world.

Expansion in advanced economies is expected to moderate slightly to 2.2 percent in 2018.

Growth in emerging market and developing economies as a whole is seen to strengthen to 4.5 percent this year, as activity in commodity exporters continues to recover.

The slowdown in potential growth is the result of years of weakening productivity growth, weak investment, and the aging of the global labor force. The deceleration is widespread, affecting economies that account for more than 65 percent of global GDP.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 12 2018, 05:26 AM
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China Exports Rise More Than Forecast



China's exports grew at a faster-than-expected pace in December, data from the General Administration of Customs showed Friday.

In dollar terms, exports advanced 10.9 percent year-over-year in December, just above the 10.8 percent rise economists had forecast.

Imports increased 4.9 percent in December from a year ago, much slower than the expected growth of 15.1 percent.

The trade surplus totaled $54.69 billion in December versus the expected surplus of $37.0 billion.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 12 2018, 06:00 AM
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U.S. Producer Prices Drop, Unemployment Claims Rise



U.S. producer prices dropped for the first time in almost 1-½ years in December amid falling costs for services, which could weigh on expectations that inflation will pick up this year.

Separate data showed that initial claims for jobless benefits rose for the fourth consecutive week to over a three-month peak. Winter and snow in parts of the United States likely kept some workers at home, which accounts for the previous week's rise in unemployment claims.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is projecting three rate hikes for 2018. It raised rates three times in 2017.

According to the Labor Department, its producer price index for final demand dropped 0.1 percent in December. It was the first decline in the PPI since August 2016 and followed two consecutive monthly growth of 0.4 percent.

The PPI increased 2.6 percent from the same period in 2016, after accelerating 3.1 percent in November.

A key gauge of underlying producer price pressures, excluding food, energy and trade services, climbed 0.1 percent in December. The so-called core PPI rose 0.4 percent in November. It increased 2.3 percent in the 12 months through December after rising 2.4 percent in November.

In the separate report, the Labor Department said initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 11,000 to a seasonally adjusted 261,000 for the week ended Jan. 6, the highest level since late September.

Claims have risen since mid-December, though the data tend to be volatile during year-end holidays.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 15 2018, 05:51 AM
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New Zealand Food Prices Fall For Fourth Month



New Zealand's food prices declined for the fourth straight month in December, figures from Statistics New Zealand showed Monday.

Food prices dropped 0.8 percent month-over-month in December, faster than the 0.4 percent fall in November.

Grocery food and seasonally cheaper fruit and vegetables were the main factors in the dip in food costs.

After four successive monthly rises, butter prices dropped 4.9 percent.

On a yearly basis, food prices grew at a stable rate of 2.3 percent in December.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 15 2018, 06:22 AM
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Asian Stocks Rise on Upbeat Economic Growth Outlook



Asian stocks started 2018 on a strong foot and are on track for a new record peak amid optimism in global growth.

Equity markets from Sydney to Hong Kong gained. U.S. markets are closed on Monday for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday after the S&P 500 index ended on Friday at an all-time peak.

Japanese shares were advancing even after appreciation in the yen the past week, with Softbank Group benefiting from speculation of a listing for its mobile unit.

Developments in the global economy have been lifting morale in the early part of this year while equities are building on the impressive gains from 2017.

Retail sales fuelled optimism in the American economy and JPMorgan Chase & Co. signaled that the recent tax reduction law will raise profits. A pick up in U.S. core inflation offered another indication that the recovery is gathering pace nine years following the global recession.

Money managers will evaluate progress in corporate America this week with more earnings releases, while results are scheduled across the world from companies in a range of sectors. Growth data from China will also be in focus this week, as well as ongoing negotiations to form a coalition government in Germany.

Meanwhile, the dollar remains weak, pulled down by strong gains in the euro.

The common currency remained near a three-year peak on wagers that central bank stimulus will be pared back further in Europe as its economy mends.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 16 2018, 04:55 AM
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BRAZIL: Ibovespa Rises To New Record On Expiring Stock Options



Ibovespa, the benchmark stock index in Brazil, rose 0.51% to 79,752.37 points Monday - a new record settlement - influenced by expiring stock options and data suggesting that the economic recovery in the country gained strength in November. The United States market holiday limited the local trading volume.

Analysts said that the Ibovespa might be pricing a conviction of the former Brazilian President Luiz In?cio Lula da Silva in a trial scheduled for January 24. A court defeat could bar Lula from running for President in October.

"The holiday in the United States removes liquidity from the stock market, but investors are expecting January 24 much more than anything else, and apparently the stakes continue to be at Lula's conviction," said the chief economist of Home Broker Modalmais, Alvaro Bandeira. In the short term, analysts expect Ibovespa to follow a bullish trend. The index remained at record levels even after Brazil's rating downgrade by S&P last week.

For Bandeira, the inflow of foreign investment has offset bad news and helped to sustain Ibovespa's good momentum. However, Rico Investimentos analyst Roberto Indech noted that this week brings some data in Brazil and abroad that may weigh on the stocks.

Meanwhile, the locally traded U.S. dollar turned positive in the final stretch of the trading day. The greenback's performance was influenced by the holiday of Martin Luther King in the United States, which reflected in lower trading volume. As a result, the locally traded currency closed slightly higher (+0.09%), at R$ 3,210.

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IFX Gertrude
post Jan 16 2018, 05:40 AM
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Global Automakers Urge Trump Administration Not to Terminate NAFTA



Major automakers urged the Trump administration not to terminate the North American Free Trade Agreement and hopes that the United States, Canada and Mexico will be able to conclude a modernized and improved trade pact.

Trump has threatened to withdraw from NAFTA, which is heavily utilized by automakers that have production and supply chains spread across the three countries.

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles Chief Executive Sergio Marchionne said he hoped the Trump administration would “retune” some of its trade talk demands.

Marchionne said FCA's truck production shift in part “goes a long way I think in addressing some of President Trump's concerns about the dislocation of production capacity out of the United States.”

That decision reduces the risk those trucks would be hit with a 25 percent tariff if NAFTA unravels.

Ford Motor Co CEO Jim Hackett said NAFTA needs “to be modernized,” adding that of Detroit's Big Three automakers, Ford has the highest percentage of U.S.-built vehicles.

General Motors CEO Mary Barra expressed optimism NAFTA will survive with improvements. Other senior GM executives stood by the company's plans to continue building trucks in Mexico.

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IFX Gertrude
post Yesterday, 05:22 AM
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Singapore NODX Rises Less Than Expected In December



Singapore's non-oil domestic exports increased at a slower-than-expected pace in December, data from the International Enterprise Singapore showed Wednesday.

NODX climbed 3.1 percent year-over-year in December, well below the 9.1 percent spike in November. Economists had expected a 8.6 percent rise for the month.

Exports of electronic products declined 5.3 percent annually in December, reversing a 5.1 percent growth in November.

At the same time, non-electronic NODX rose 6.8 percent after expanding 10.6 percent in the prior month.

On a monthly basis, NODX decreased a seasonally adjusted 5.0 percent in December, following a 8.6 percent gain in

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IFX Gertrude
post Yesterday, 05:54 AM
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UK Inflation Rate Drops to 3%, the First Decline for 6 Months



UK inflation rate has dropped for the first time since June, mainly due to the impact of air fares. The rate fell to three percent in December, pulling back from November's rate of 3.1 percent, a six-year peak.

According to the Office for National Statistics, although airfares increased the previous month, it had a smaller impact than at the same point in 2016.

Inflation fell because the annual December rise in air fares was not as high as the previous year, the rate of price growth for recreational goods, including games and toys, also dropped. These categories are particularly sensitive to a fall in the exchange rate.

The ONS said it was too early to say whether this was the start of a longer-term reduction in the rate of inflation. It also notes that the slowing rate of growth was offset partially by higher tobacco prices, reflecting the duty increases that came into effect following the budget, as well as a rise in petrol and diesel prices.

The Bank of England has said it thinks inflation peaked at the end of 2017 and will fall back to its target of two percent in 2018.

Although the Bank may still look to raise interest rates from 0.5 percent, pushing the cost of borrowing to levels unseen since before the financial crisis, economists said there were still difficult patches ahead for the economy, which may be unsettled by the Brexit negotiations.

In November, the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) raised its key interest rate for the first time in more than a decade from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent.

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IFX Gertrude
post Yesterday, 05:54 AM
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UK Inflation Rate Drops to 3%, the First Decline for 6 Months



UK inflation rate has dropped for the first time since June, mainly due to the impact of air fares. The rate fell to three percent in December, pulling back from November's rate of 3.1 percent, a six-year peak.

According to the Office for National Statistics, although airfares increased the previous month, it had a smaller impact than at the same point in 2016.

Inflation fell because the annual December rise in air fares was not as high as the previous year, the rate of price growth for recreational goods, including games and toys, also dropped. These categories are particularly sensitive to a fall in the exchange rate.

The ONS said it was too early to say whether this was the start of a longer-term reduction in the rate of inflation. It also notes that the slowing rate of growth was offset partially by higher tobacco prices, reflecting the duty increases that came into effect following the budget, as well as a rise in petrol and diesel prices.

The Bank of England has said it thinks inflation peaked at the end of 2017 and will fall back to its target of two percent in 2018.

Although the Bank may still look to raise interest rates from 0.5 percent, pushing the cost of borrowing to levels unseen since before the financial crisis, economists said there were still difficult patches ahead for the economy, which may be unsettled by the Brexit negotiations.

In November, the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) raised its key interest rate for the first time in more than a decade from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent.

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IFX Gertrude
post Today, 05:03 AM
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Australia Jobless Rate Climbs To 5.5% In December



The unemployment rate in Australia came in at a seasonally adjusted 5.5 percent in December, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

That was above forecasts for 5.4 percent, which would have been unchanged from November.

The Australian economy added 34,700 jobs last month to 12,440,800, beating forecasts for an increase of 15,100 following the upwardly revised 63,600 gain in the previous month (originally 61,600).

Full-time employment increased 15,100 to 8,518,900 and part-time employment increased 19,500 to 3,921,800.

Unemployment increased 20,500 to 730,600. The number of unemployed persons looking for full-time work increased 9,900 to 501,800 and the number of unemployed persons only looking for part-time work increased 10,600 to 228,800.

The participation rate climbed to 65.7 percent, exceeding forecasts for 65.5 percent - which would have been unchanged.

Monthly hours worked in all jobs decreased 4.2 million hours (0.2 percent) to 1,736.4 million hours.

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