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IFX Yana
post Sep 26 2011, 09:58 AM
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Eurozone Leading Index Falls In August: Conference Board

Eurozone's leading economic indicator declined in August, after improving slightly in the previous month, data released by the Conference Board showed Monday.
The leading economic indicator (LEI) dropped to 107.1 in August from 108.6 in July. In June, the reading was 108.5. The decline in the index was primarily due to a severe deterioration in business confidence and stock prices.
Meanwhile, the coincident economic index (CEI), which measures the current economic condition, remained unchanged at 103.4 in August. In June, the reading was 103.1.
In the six months ended August, the LEI decreased 1.7 percent, while the coincident index edged up 0.4 percent, the agency said.

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IFX Kseniya
post Sep 27 2011, 08:24 AM
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S. Korean Business Confidence To Improve In October



South Korean business confidence will improve in October, a survey carried out by the Federation of Korean Industries revealed Tuesday.

The sentiment indicator for October came in at 101.4, the highest level since June. The index climbed from 96.3 in September. A reading above 100 suggests that companies forecasting business conditions to improve outnumber those predicting decline.

The survey based on 600 companies revealed that firms expect improvement in export performance due to the weakness of the Korean won against the U.S. dollar.

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IFX Yana
post Sep 28 2011, 08:07 AM
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Euro Mixed Ahead Of German Import Price Index

German import price figures for August will be released at 2:00 am ET Wednesday. Ahead of the data, the euro showed mixed trading against its major counterparts. While the euro rose against the franc, it held steady against the yen. Against the greenback and the pound, the euro fell.
At 1:55 am ET, the euro traded at 1.3554 against the greenback, 103.80 against the yen, 0.8676 against the pound and 1.2202 against the franc.

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IFX Yana
post Sep 29 2011, 09:00 AM
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Europe Aug. Commercial Vehicle Sales Growth Improves: ACEA

European new commercial vehicle sales increased at a faster pace in August, data from the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) showed Thursday.
New registrations of commercial vehicles moved up 15.7 percent year-on-year after rising 3 percent in July, which led to an 8.3 percent increase over the two summer months compared to the same period last year.
From January to August, a total of 12,611,244 new commercial vehicles were registered across the region, or 12.1 percent more than in the first eight months of previous year.
Most major markets logged growth, ranging from 6.4 percent in France to 21.1 percent in the U.K. and 23.3 percent in Germany. Spain was the only one to contract, where sales were down 6.3 percent.
In August, new truck registrations increased by 23.5 percent, reflecting the upturn in Germany. After a 3.8 percent fall in July, new bus and coach registrations increased by 4.8 percent in August.


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IFX Yana
post Sep 30 2011, 09:02 AM
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European Economics Preview: Eurozone Flash Inflation Data Due

Flash inflation and unemployment from Eurozone and retail sales from Germany are the major statistical reports due on Friday, headlining a hectic day for European Economic news.
At 2.00 am ET, the Federal Statistical Office is scheduled to issue German retail sales. Economists forecast retail sales to fall 0.5 percent month-on-month in August, following a 0.3 percent rise in July. On a yearly basis, retail sales are forecast to fall 1 percent.
The French statistical office Insee is set to publish consumer spending and producer prices for August. Monthly increase in consumer spending is seen at 0.1 percent, down sharply from 1.2 percent rise in July. Producer price annual inflation is forecast to ease to 5.9 percent from 6.1 percent in July.
Denmark's GDP, Norway unemployment and Turkish trade balance are due at 3.00 am ET. The Danish economy is forecast to expand 0.8 percent sequentially in the second quarter. Turkey's trade deficit is seen at $7.1 billion in August, smaller than the $9.01 billion shortfall in July.
The Italian statistical office Istat is slated to issue unemployment data for the second quarter. The jobless rate is expected to fall to 8 percent from 8.2 percent in the first quarter.
Eurozone flash inflation and jobless figures are due at 5.00 am ET. Inflation is expected to remain unchanged at 2.5 percent in September. The jobless rate is seen at 10 percent in August.
In the meantime, Italy's inflation data is due. Annual inflation is forecast to rise slightly to 2.9 percent from 2.8 percent in August.
At 5.30 am ET, Swiss KOF leading index is due. The indicator is expected to ease to 1.3 in September from 1.61 in August.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 4 2011, 09:20 AM
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Dollar Strengthens Against European Majors

After moving broadly sideways in the latter part of the Asian session, the US dollar edged higher against the major currencies of Europe in early European deals Tuesday.
The greenback is presently trading at fresh multi-month highs of 1.3148 against the euro and 0.9233 against the Swiss franc with 1.3080 and 0.93, respectively seen as the next likely resistance levels.
Against the pound, the US dollar advanced to an 11-day high of 1.54 around 3:50 am ET. The cable is presently worth 1.5415 with 1.5340 seen as the next likely target level.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 6 2011, 09:36 AM
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European Economics Preview: ECB, BoE Interest Rate Decisions Due

Interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank and Bank of England are the major events due on Thursday. Both central banks are expected to leave key interest rates unchanged.
Spanish and Hungarian industrial production reports are due at 3.00 am ET. Spanish industrial output is forecast to fall 4.7 percent annually in August after easing 2.8 percent in July. Meanwhile, Hungary's industrial output growth is seen at 1.3 percent for August, down from 2.7 percent in the prior month.
At 3.15 am ET, Swiss consumer price figures are due from the Federal Statistical Office. Annual inflation is forecast to rise to 0.3 percent in September from 0.2 percent in August.
The Bank of England is slated to issue housing equity withdrawal figures for the second quarter at 4.30 am ET.
German factory orders are due from the Federal Ministry of Economy and Technology at 6.00 am ET. Economists forecast orders to remain flat month-on-month in August after falling 2.8 percent in July.
The Bank of England is set to announce its interest rate decision at 7.00 am ET. The Monetary Policy Committee led by Governor Mervyn King is expected to hold the interest rate at 0.50 percent, the lowest since the central bank was established in 1694. Further, the BoE is forecast to maintain GBP 200 billion asset purchase programme.
The European Central Bank is due to release monetary policy statement at 7.45 am ET. Economists expect the central bank to hold the rate steady at 1.50 percent.
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet holds a press conference following the interest rate announcement at 8.30 am ET. Trichet, who is set to leave the ECB this month, is expected to unveil some non-standard measures.


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IFX Yana
post Oct 7 2011, 09:20 AM
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Moody's Downgrades Nine Portuguese Banks

Moody's Investors Service on Friday downgraded senior debt and deposit ratings of nine Portuguese banks, citing deterioration of their unsupported financial strength.
Moody's said that it saw increased asset risk for these banks as a direct consequence of the their holdings of Portuguese government debt and the sovereign's downgraded rating.
Furthermore, the agency expected further deterioration of the banks' domestic asset quality due to weak outlook for economic growth in the context of the government's austerity measures.
The liquidity strains of the banks that currently lack access to wholesale funding is also a key driver of the rating action.
The six banks which faced downgrades of both their standalone ratings and their debt and deposit ratings are Caixa Geral de Depositos, Banco Comercial Portugues, Banco Espirito Santo, Banco BPI, Banco Santander Totta, and Caixa Economica Montepio Geral.
Banco Internacional do Funchal and Banco Portugues de Negocios had their debt and deposit rating downgraded as a consequence of the weaker Portuguese sovereign, resulting in a lower rating uplift for these banks' debt ratings. The debt ratings of Espirito Santo Financial Group follow the lower rating of its operating company, BES.
All of the banks' ratings carry a negative outlook with the exception of Banco Portugues de Negocios, which has a developing outlook on all of its ratings.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 10 2011, 10:37 AM
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Euro Zone Investor Sentiment at Its Lowest Level in Oct Since July 2009

News:
Euro zone investor sentiment declined for the 3rd consecutive month to -18.5 in Oct, its lowest level since July 2009, from -15.4 in Sept.
A sub-index tracking current conditions dropped to -5.75 from -3.25, while a sub-index tracking expectations fell to -30.5 from -26.75
Quotes:
"The unsolved European sovereign debt crisis and the weakening of momentum in emerging markets remain the principle drivers of this development,"
Sentix
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IFX Yana
post Oct 12 2011, 10:40 AM
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Eurozone Industrial Output Rises Unexpectedly In August

Industrial production in the Eurozone increased unexpectedly in August, data released by Eurostat showed Wednesday. This was the second consecutive increase after a marginal decline in June.
The seasonally adjusted industrial output increased 1.2 percent on a monthly basis in August, following an upwardly revised 1.1 percent rise in July. Economists expected a 0.8 percent fall.
In European Union member states, industrial output grew 0.9 percent month-on-month, at the same pace as in the previous month.
Year-on-year, industrial production in Eurozone increased 5.3 percent, following a 4.4 percent rise in July. Economists expected production to rise 2.1 percent. In EU27, production was up 4.3 percent annually.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 13 2011, 09:15 AM
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Euro Mixed Ahead Of ECB Monthly Report

The European Central Bank is set to publish its monthly report for October at 4.00 am ET. The euro showed mixed trading ahead of the data.
While the common currency traded lower against the Swiss franc, it inched higher versus the rest of majors. As of 3:55 am ET, the common currency was trading at 0.8776 against the pound, 1.2356 against the Swiss franc, 1.3817 against the US dollar and 106.55 against the yen.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 14 2011, 09:52 AM
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Trichet Urges Eurozone Leaders To Resolve Crisis

Eurozone leaders must resolve the crisis in Europe and take concrete steps to restore confidence, the outgoing President of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet, said as the policymakers prepare for the crucial October 23 summit.
In an interview with the Financial Times newspaper on Thursday, Trichet said the policymakers in the eurozone have to strengthen banks' balance sheets and restore credibility. He reiterated that ECB will not act as a "lender of last resort" to governments.
Referring to the Eurozone debt crisis, he said "It is a historical event of the first magnitude, the worst crisis since the second world war." It could have produced a great depression had appropriate decisions not been taken at the appropriate time, he told the daily.
Trichet, who will be replaced by Mario Draghi next month, is meeting G20 leaders in Paris today. The emerging market economies are reportedly planning to boost the lending capacity of the International Monetary Fund, to help Europe fight the debt crisis.
"It's our duty to tell governments and other institutions what we see, but up to them to take the appropriate decisions," Trichet said in a separate interview with Bloomberg Television in London on Thursday.
He also urged policymakers to remain alert warning that a lot of unpredictable events can occur. Last week, the ECB offered unlimited liquidity and pledged to resume covered bond purchases in November, as part of its liquidity boosting efforts to stave off the crisis.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 17 2011, 09:31 AM
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Research: Eur/usd - Trading Strategy, Trigger Points, and Support and Resistance Levels

RBS has given the following trading strategy, trigger points, and support and resistance levels:
TRADING STRATEGY: Longer term longs; stop below the neckline at 1.3650 target 1.4099 onto 1.4200 (spot 1.3778)
TRIGGER POINTS:
1.3873 - where the market looked toppy around the middle of September and where the 61.8% retracement falls from the previous range.
1.4099 - My (analyst) initial objective from this pattern and the 38.2% of this new found range from the retracements
1.3907 - a 50% retracement from the rally at the beginning of the year at 1.2874 to the high at 1.4940.
SUPPORT LEVELS: 1.3799, 1.3700
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.3907, 1.4099
-A strong close to the week, given that risk sentiment tends to suffer a sudden bout of fear as the weekly close nears, this didn't happen last Friday and the EUR closed up near the highs. The dominant technical feature is the inverse head and shoulders pattern with a target up at 1.4099 possibly 1.4200 with a stop currently positioned at 1.3650 – this can be moved up to 1.3750 if required.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 18 2011, 09:56 AM
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EBRD Cuts Growth Forecast For Central & Eastern Europe

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, EBRD, has lowered the growth forecast for the Central and Eastern Europe, saying that the "protracted" debt crisis in Europe is adversely affecting the region's growth prospects.
Reports said citing an EBRD statement that the region is expected to expand 3.2 percent in 2012, much slower than the prior estimate of 4.4 percent. The GDP will grow 4.5 percent, compared with the 4.8 percent predicted in July.
The EBRD revised its 2012 forecast for the central Europe and Baltic region to 1.7 percent from the 3.4 percent predicted in July.
The bank's estimates are based on a central scenario of a "protracted but ultimately contained" eurozone crisis, reports said.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 19 2011, 08:48 AM
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ECB's Trichet Stresses On Need To Amend Treaties To Save Eurozone

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said that the treaties must be amended so that the authorities can "impose decisions" on countries that put the stability of the monetary union at risk by not complying with the fiscal rules.
In an interview to the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, a transcript of which was published at the central bank's website on Tuesday, Trichet said that it should be possible in future to impose decisions on countries that persist in not complying with the Stability and Growth Pact, thereby putting at risk the stability of Monetary Union.
"In my view, the Treaties would need to be amended to this end," he told the daily.
Asked about the conditions that persuaded ECB to intervene in the bond market, Trichet said that there was a delay during the ratification process of the European Financial Stability Facility, which needed approval of all 17 governments.
Due to this delay, ECB found itself in a situation where it had to intervene in the bond market in order to safeguard the transmission of monetary policy. "We had to act decisively vis-?-vis savers and investors throughout the world."
"But we never act as a substitute for the governments' responsibility and decisions," he said during the interview.
Trichet said that new Stability and Growth Pact is much stricter, although not as strict as all intended. The new one is unlikely to fail as the euro area countries have been made painfully aware of the dangers of constant violation. The most important thing for the ECB is to ensure medium and long-term stability, and it cannot use monetary policy to put right the failings of government policies, he told the newspaper.

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IFX Yana
post Oct 20 2011, 09:08 AM
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Uk Inflation Likely to fall in 2012 says Broadbent

News
BoE's Broadbentsaid on Thursday that there is possibility of sharp inflation fall in 2012.
He expresses positivity that the euro zone crisis would be tackled, relieving pressure on the supply of retail credit throughout UK banks.
He reiterated that Margins in lending will come down and business conditions would improve
Quotes
"The headline rate will fall back pretty sharply, especially as we get to the new year and VAT rates fall out of comparisons. Inflation will fall in the first part of the next year,"
- BoE's Broadbent

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IFX Yana
post Oct 21 2011, 09:11 AM
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Thai Export Growth Slows Sharply In September

Thailand export growth eased more than expected in September, data from the Commerce Ministry showed Friday.
Export growth eased to 19.1 percent year-on-year in September from 31.1 percent in August. Economists expected the rate of growth to slow to 21 percent.
Meanwhile, imports grew 41.9 percent compared to 44 percent rise reported in the preceding month. Economists were looking for a 32.6 percent increase.
The trade balance resulted in a surplus of $238.2 million compared to a deficit of $1.2 billion in the previous month. A year ago, the balance was in a surplus of $3.07 billion.
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IFX Yana
post Oct 24 2011, 10:00 AM
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BoE Broadbent Says Monetary Policy Cannot Fully Offset Euro Crisis Fallout

Monetary policy can offset the fallout from a potential Eurozone burst up "only to some extent," Bank of England policymaker Ben Broadbent told the Financial Times.
"To some extent, but I think only to some extent," he said in an interview published late on Sunday. The scale of the debt crisis mean that "one cannot offset them."
Broadbent said the central bank's decision to expand the asset purchase by GBP 75 trillion was not precise.
Denying that there was any limit to the total amount of quantitative easing the central bank could do, he said "the limit is what the correct policy is."

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IFX Yana
post Oct 26 2011, 09:58 AM
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Eurozone Leading Index Drops Further In September: Conference Board


Eurozone's leading economic index declined further in September, data from a survey by the Conference Board showed Wednesday.
The leading economic index (LEI) decreased to 105.9 in September from 106.7 in August, which was lower than July's reading of 108.1.
Meanwhile, the coincident economic index (CEI), which measures the current economic situation, edged up to 103.7 in September from August's reading of 103.6. In July, the reading was 103.4.
In the six months ended September, the leading index declined 2.6 percent, while the coincident index moved up 0.8 percent, the agency said.
"The LEI for the Euro Area fell sharply in August on the back of a severe deterioration in business confidence and stock prices which continued in September," Jean-Claude Manini, the Conference Board senior economist for Europe, said. "The sovereign debt crisis and the uncertainty concerning its resolution are beginning to dampen current economic activity and the immediate outlook."

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IFX Yana
post Oct 27 2011, 10:27 AM
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EU Banks May Require EUR 106 Billion Under Recapitalization Plan: EBA


The European banks would be required to raise EUR 106 billion as capital under the new recapitalization plan agreed by EU leaders at yesterday's summit, the European Banking Authority (EBA) said Thursday.
Under the plan, banks are required to establish a buffer such that the Core Tier 1 capital ratio reaches 9 percent. Banks will be expected to build these buffers by the end of June 2012. The EBA said that it expects to disclose the final capital shortfall by November.
Spanish banks need EUR 26.2 billion and Italian banks require EUR 14.8 billion in core tier 1 capital, according to EBA. French and German banks must raise EUR 8.84 billion and EUR 1.58 billion respectively, EBA said in a statement.
Greek banks will need an extra EUR 30 billion of capital, though this was covered by an existing aid program.
Banks will be required to submit their plans detailing the actions they intend to take to reach the set target to their respective national authorities by the end of 2011. These plans will have to be agreed with National Supervisory Authorities and discussed with the EBA, according to the statement.
The targets will have to be achieved avoiding excessive deleveraging, while they are expected to withhold dividends and bonuses to attain the target, the statement said.
The capital needs should be met only with capital of the highest quality. For private instruments, only new issuances of very strong convertible capital will be accepted if in line with strict and standardized criteria to be defined by the EBA, the EU's banks watchdog said.

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